coffeeai
🗺️ the story so far
Open questions
The arguments nobody has won yet, argued fairly, with the real camps and the evidence that would decide each one. The road is what happened; this is what we still don’t know. When a question settles, it lands on the road as a new stop.
TWELVE LIVE QUESTIONS
Worth a look this week. It sits up here rather than on the tables below because none of it is likely to matter in a year.
Every open question in AI, on one table
Cups are grouped by subject. Size and steam say how much is riding on a question this week. A dashed thread runs between any two that can't be settled apart. Answer one and you've moved the other, whether you meant to or not. Pick one up.
Twelve questions, and what would settle each one
None of this is news. These are standing disagreements, and each one is framed the way the people inside it would frame it: the real camps, the evidence that would end the argument, and where it moved last. The sources are the people doing the work. Dwarkesh Patel, Nathan Lambert, Epoch AI, SemiAnalysis, Zvi Mowshowitz, and the labs themselves.
Questions that have since been settled
Every stop on the road was once a cup on one of these tables. Recently cleared:
You've seen the whole board
Twelve is all of them, as far as we can tell: these are the questions still open. When one gets settled it moves to the road, like the three above.
To take a seat, tap a camp on any question's page. You can change it later. If you have a better source, a sharper way to put an argument, or a side that isn't represented here, use the comments or send us a note.
Grab a coffee every morning
A short morning email: what moved on the road overnight, which questions got hotter, and the two or three things worth knowing.